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| An Uncommonly Interesting Fed Day | ||
| 9/16/2026 9:24 AM | ||
| There are perhaps no other Fed announcements in recent memory worthy of more anticipation than the one we"ll get today. While some of the recent data could be used to argue patience, far more data suggests a hike. The market agrees based on recent moves in yields and Fed Funds Futures. The question remains as to whether Warsh has a firm conviction ...Read More | ||
| Some Signs of Resilience But It"s Still Anyone"s Game | ||
| 9/15/2026 3:32 PM | ||
| Some Signs of Resilience But It"s Still Anyone"s Game After several consecutive business days of abject unpleasantness in the bond/mortgage market, Tuesday finally offered a modest consolation. During domestic trading hours, every attempt to push 10yr yields over 5% was met with a supportive bounce--presuma...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Higher Again Ahead of Fed | ||
| 9/15/2026 2:54 PM | ||
| Mortgage rates moved higher for the 6th day in a row on Tuesday and to the highest levels since January, 2025. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate is up to 7.22% and the most prevalently-quoted top-tier rate is 7.25%. Over the past 6 days, the average is up 0.33%, which is is the most abrupt jump since October 2024. At least some of the recent vo...Read More | ||
| Verification, Cash Flow Analysis, Credit Reporting, Climate Data Tools; Webcasts | ||
| 9/15/2026 10:18 AM | ||
| Today we’re in Dallas for the Loan Vision Innovation Conference 2026, and LV recently rolled out its AI accounting software Luna. The CEOs, CFOs, and Controllers here are focused on measuring, analyzing, and interpreting data, including volume. MCT"s September Indices Report reflects a total lock volume decline month over month in August, with purc...Read More | ||
| 5% Yields Bringing Value Buyers? | ||
| 9/15/2026 9:57 AM | ||
| With no meaningful econ data on tap today and no high stakes events, bonds are left to watch news headlines and attend to last-minute positioning goals before tomorrow"s Fed announcement. There"s a bit more of a disconnect between oil prices and bond yields than normal today. Earlier in the overnight session, yields actually led the way higher. In ...Read More | ||
| Decent Mid-Day Recovery But No Change to Bigger Picture | ||
| 9/14/2026 2:52 PM | ||
| Decent Mid-Day Recovery But No Change to Bigger Picture Monday wasn"t too different from last Friday in that the bond market began the day with AM volatility that gave way to minimally changed yields by the close. The order was reversed, however, with the weaker trading in the AM and rally back to unchanged...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Start Higher, But Some Lenders Recovered | ||
| 9/14/2026 2:19 PM | ||
| On average, the top-tier 30yr fixed mortgage rate moved up to another new long-term high today of 7.17%. You"d have to go back to January, 2025 to see anything higher. That said, there"s more variability than normal today depending on the lender. Bonds (which dictate rates) were at their weakest levels of the day right around the time most l...Read More | ||
| Sep. 14: Verification, Non-QM, Processing, Agentic AI Tools; LOs as Financial Strategists; Equity Study | ||
| 9/14/2026 10:11 AM | ||
| Yes, the college game was amazing Saturday night here in Austin, but there’s also IMN’s HELOCs & Second Liens event. The markets know that it is a hot topic. Do “the markets” care about a $40 trillion U.S. deficit? Yes. Does any politician seem able to curb spending, or be elected to do it? Not really, and in fact over the weekend, House Speake...Read More | ||
| Different Week, Same Selling | ||
| 9/14/2026 9:38 AM | ||
| Selling continues to be the path of least resistance for the bond market. Open interest data from Treasury futures suggests Friday"s "short-covering" assessment may not be the only story. Reason being: open interest moved HIGHER (it would be much easier to conclude short-covering drove the move if open interest was lower). The counterpoint is that ...Read More | ||
| AM Rally Completely Erased By The Close | ||
| 9/11/2026 4:29 PM | ||
| AM Rally Completely Erased By The Close This morning"s paradoxical rally lasted 30 whole minutes. Bonds turned around at exactly 9am and proceeded to completely erase the AM gains. There were no compelling macro motivations for the reversal apart from a modest rise in oil prices. While oil price lows and hi...Read More | ||
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| Mortgage demand from homebuyers drops 19% from a year ago, as interest rates surge abruptly higher | ||
| 9/16/2026 6:47 AM | ||
| Mortgage rates have surged to the highest level since the start of 2025, causing a major pullback in mortgage demand...Read More | ||
| Mortgage credit scores are evolving. What homebuyers need to know | ||
| 9/15/2026 10:19 AM | ||
| Mortgage lenders that work with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, government-sponsored enterprises, have the green light to use VantageScore 4.0 if they want to...Read More | ||
| Potential AI slowdown is not ‘end of the world’ for data center real estate, says Digital Realty CEO | ||
| 9/15/2026 7:28 AM | ||
| Digital Realty and Equinix, two of the largest data center REITs, saw their stocks slump after warnings over AI advancements. ...Read More | ||
| Scott Bessent defends Treasury intervention, Trump economy in contentious House hearing | ||
| 9/15/2026 12:11 PM | ||
| Bessent defended the administration"s Treasury-market intervention, economic record and AI policy while lawmakers tried to pin him down on borrowing and energy...Read More | ||
| The Fed is likely to raise interest rates as inflation persists. What that means for consumers | ||
| 9/14/2026 12:42 PM | ||
| The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point at its September meeting...Read More | ||
| Construction robots are tackling America's housing shortage, but we're a long way from humanoid homebuilders | ||
| 9/12/2026 8:52 AM | ||
| America"s housing market is short inventory and workers, pressuring home affordability. Constructions robots are reality, but to date not humanoid homebuilders...Read More | ||
| 30-year fixed mortgage rate tops 7% for the first time in over a year | ||
| 9/10/2026 1:30 PM | ||
| The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage crossed over 7% for the first time in more than a year, as home prices continue to rise and sales drop...Read More | ||
| Home sales fall in August despite the highest supply in over a decade | ||
| 9/10/2026 12:57 PM | ||
| Home sales slowed again despite the highest supply of homes for sale in over a decade. Prices, however, continue to rise...Read More | ||
| Trump pushes Fed for lower rates, but consumers may be better off with a hike, experts say | ||
| 9/9/2026 1:29 PM | ||
| As the Trump administration ramps up pressure on the Federal Reserve, consumers may be better served if senior officials back off, experts say...Read More | ||
| Demand for riskier mortgages rises again, along with interest rates | ||
| 9/9/2026 6:59 AM | ||
| Mortgage rates continue to climb, so more borrowers are turning to adjustable rate mortgages, which offer lower interest rates comparatively...Read More | ||
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