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Signing, Borrower Retention, LOS, QC Audit, AVM Tools; Slowing Economy = Lower Rates
10/14/2025 10:43 AM
“Where do amputees get prosthetics on a budget? The secondhand store.” Budget, stalemate, and shutdown news continues in Washington DC. The sun still comes up in the morning, and there is news on related issues. For example, thank you to Sean S. who told me that HUD opened the suggestions window for improving the HECM (reverse mortgage) product. Th...Read More
 
One Of The Few Times We Can Say "Strong Red Start"
10/14/2025 8:59 AM
Bonds are flashing red on the screen (depending on when you look), but even at their weakest levels of the morning, we"d still consider this a stronger start. Reason being: Friday afternoon"s rally lasted 10 whole minutes right at the end of the session. Before that, 10yr yields were around 4.06 and 5.0 MBS were trading just under 99.5. Now th...Read More
 
Markets Rocked by New Tariff Drama
10/10/2025 4:43 PM
Markets Rocked by New Tariff Drama Bonds were already having a decent day this morning with overnight market movers bringing yields in line with the lower end of the recent range. Mid-day drama caused massive selling in stocks which spilled over and made for an extension of the already-decent bond rally. Th...Read More
 
Mortgage Rates Lowest Since Fed Day
10/10/2025 2:16 PM
Mortgage rates saw their biggest day-over-day decline of the past several weeks today in response to unexpected news regarding additional tariffs on China. Trump had previously been scheduled to meet with China"s President Xi in 2 weeks, but  today said there was no reason to do so and that the administration is currently calculating a massive...Read More
 
Refi Demand Ebbs Gradually As Rates Remain Rangebound
10/10/2025 1:22 PM
Mortgage application activity declined again last week as refi demand continues pulling back after the surge in mid September. According to MBA’s Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending October 3, total volume fell 4.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis and 5% unadjusted. The Refinance Index decreased 8% from the previous week but remains 18% ...Read More
 
Audit, Interest Rate Risk Products; Gov"t Program News; Home Builder Interview; Shutdown and Data Releases
10/10/2025 10:49 AM
The stalemate & shutdown continue, all but eliminating the government release of economic news. Recall that the U.S. Treasury posted a $345 billion budget deficit in August, the largest monthly deficit of 2025 and the 2nd-worst August on record but helped by tariff revenue. This is up from July’s $291 billion deficit and has only been surpassed...Read More
 
Overnight Gains on Fed Comments And Japanese Politics (Really)
10/10/2025 8:44 AM
At the start of the week, we noted Japanese political developments as a key reason for overnight losses on Monday morning. This had to do with Takaichi winning control of Japan"s LDP party, thus making her the front runner to become the Prime Minister. Her economic views fueled fears that Japan"s central bank would ultimately need to sell Trea...Read More
 
Uneventful Day; MBS Underperform
10/9/2025 3:05 PM
Uneventful Day; MBS Underperform It"s not uncommon to see MBS outperform their Treasury benchmarks in the run up to a round of weekly Treasury auctions only to underperform when the auction cycle wraps up. That underperformance (or rather, Treasury outperformance) was on full display today with MBS losing a...Read More
 
Mortgage Rates Move Slightly Higher
10/9/2025 2:33 PM
It"s getting pretty tough to weave an interesting narrative on mortgage rates over the past 3 weeks. During that time, they just haven"t changed that much for the average lender. Today was just another day in that regard. Bonds (which dictate day to day movement in rates) were slightly weaker than yesterday. This implies slightly higher mortgage r...Read More
 
DPA, eNote, Credit Tools; Fannie and Freddie Open for Business; Conv. Conforming Changes
10/9/2025 10:46 AM
“Two lawyers walk into a pub. They order a couple of drinks and take subs out of their brief cases. They begin to eat. Seeing this, the angry pub owner exclaims, ‘Excuse me but you cannot eat your own sandwiches in here!’ The two look at each other, shrug, then exchange sandwiches.” Legal news leads off the Commentary today as Optimal Blue and near...Read More




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Major real estate developers are fast becoming power brokers
10/14/2025 9:40 AM
Powered land needs to be secured with the permits, utility commitments, and infrastructure needed to deliver power to a data center...Read More
 
China's property slump this year is looking much worse than expected, S&P says
10/10/2025 12:29 AM
China"s real estate market is on track to drop more than previously expected this year due to the lack of government support, S&P Global Ratings said...Read More
 
That perfect-looking house for sale may have an owner using AI to virtually enhance the listing
10/9/2025 9:16 AM
If a home for sale looks too perfect, that may be because the owner is using AI to virtually enhance the real estate listing....Read More
 
Attending a wedding can cost you as much as a typical month's rent, report finds
10/8/2025 9:47 AM
Some Gen Z and millennial renters are making certain housing sacrifices to afford wedding events, report finds. Here"s what to do instead...Read More
 
What the government shutdown means for commercial real estate
10/8/2025 11:55 AM
A federal shutdown affects data collection, causes uncertainty for CRE dealmaking and hits investor confidence....Read More
 
Borrowers head back to riskier mortgages, looking for any potential savings
10/8/2025 7:28 AM
Mortgage demand weakened again but for those in the market, adjustable-rate loans are getting more popular, as they offer lower interest rates....Read More
 
Investors are making up the highest share of homebuyers in 5 years
10/8/2025 7:18 AM
Real estate investors, both individual and institutional, bought one-third of all single-family residential properties sold in the second quarter of 2025...Read More
 
Prologis, Amazon and Meta sign low-carbon concrete pact
10/5/2025 9:45 AM
Concrete manufacturing, and especially cement production, accounts for 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions, according to the World Economic Forum...Read More
 
Property tech 'winter' is over, but climate investment is still struggling, says Fifth Wall CEO
10/3/2025 7:00 AM
Higher interest rates, a capital market retraction and a push by almost all venture capital into AI collectively hit property tech hard...Read More
 
Government shutdown risks: DOGE real estate impact shows one way federal cuts can ripple across economy
10/1/2025 2:56 PM
The federal government"s termination of hundreds of leases as part of DOGE budget cuts are rippling through the national real estate market....Read More




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